So President Donald J. Trump wants to put America first
everywhere. There should be no surprise in this. Every leader of every
country, presumably, puts his or her national interests first on every
issue. This, as the early 20th century revealed, leads to
intense competition – and sometimes war. For this reason, the community
of nation states got together to moderate and regulate conduct among
themselves, first creating the League of Nations and, eventually, the
United Nations. But even so, there have been countries like the United
States which refuse to be regulated and play an out-size role in world
affairs.
Without venturing into the controversial nature of the phrase in
1940, even a cursory look at recent US history will demonstrate
how things have been ‘America First’ for a long time. The issue is of
definition. While US presidents since Truman put forward a broad
interpretation of the meaning of the term – where the US assumes the
role of a leader – Trump & Co want to put across a hard line,
narrower vision.
In ancient Chinese political thought, there is a concept of “all
under the heaven” – signifying the rule of an emperor who is supreme,
moral and humane and accepted so by everyone. “Hegemony” is the second
category of rule which is indeed supreme, but maintains itself so
through the obvious exercise of power.
After the Second World War, the US exercised hegemonic power but was
also seen by many as an exemplar of humane authority – a state which
was powerful, but also moral in some sense. Its concepts of democracy,
trade policy, human rights – though not always evenly adhered to or
advocated – had wide acceptance. Its challengers –the Soviet Union and
China – never quite managed to move up from the third category, which is
that of “tyranny.”
It was a world where America was First. The US shaped the
monetary order, its dollars were the world’s reserve currency, its
universities dominated the world of the sciences and arts, its popular
culture was widely admired and emulated. There was a lot of US
benevolence – the Marshall Plan in Europe, the PL 480 grain supply and
economic aid to India, the re-industrialisation of Japan and South Korea
– but all this enriched the US and also shored up a system whose
biggest beneficiary was the US itself. The American grand strategy of
reshaping the world in its own image was as much an expression of
liberal altruism as a means of securing America and its dominance by
creating a world order where everyone lived by rules set largely by the
US, with a little prodding from the United Kingdom.
Though the US military was deployed all over the world, there was
little doubt that the security of CONUS, or the Continental United
States, was its primary concern; American soldiers fought battles in far
off lands to ensure that they did not have to fight them in their own.
Further, in providing security guarantees for allies in Western Europe
and East Asia, the US also checked the ambitions of regional hegemons
like Russia and China.
So it is a bit difficult to understand just what Trump’s America
First slogan really means. The US remains the foremost military and
economic power in the world today. It is not that other countries have
become rich at America’s expense, the US, too, has become richer. It is
not that in securing others, the US has not enhanced its own security.
It spends more on defence than the next five countries on the list. The
problems have arisen when the US chose to fight wars which had no real
relation to American security and, in the case of Iraq, were based on
fictitious grounds. A contributing factor to the weakening of its
economy was the excesses of its own bankers and investment houses, who
brought about the 2008 financial meltdown.
These two self-inflicted wounds – both the product of an America
First mindset – have brought on a sense of crisis which Trump is
massaging. Even the US could not afford the $2 trillion cost of the
Iraq war. Worse was the impact that US unilateralism had on the world
order, especially when it became clear that the american intelligence
manufactured evidence to justify the war. Its baleful consequences have
been evident in the rise of the Islamic State, which Trump now says is
the principal enemy.
Trump’s critique of the Washington establishment, of American
corporates who have enriched themselves while the middle class and
workers have stagnated, is generally accurate. However, it is not just
the economic system that has failed a large number of Americans who
elected him, but the political system which is dysfunctional.
Take for example, the US Congress. Barely 5-10 incumbents lose an
election to the 435-member House of Representatives which takes place
every second year. One major cause of this has been the gerrymandering
of constituencies. But, stagnation in a key branch of US government has
an overall negative impact on the policies of the country. The US Senate
moves at a glacial pace on every issue because it has created procedures and processes
that require the consent of all all 100 senators to do anything. And,
then of course, there is the presidential election system that
sent Trump to the White House even though he got 3 million fewer popular
votes.
The great US workers’ unions have been eviscerated with the decline
of American manufacturing industry and today even the middle class is
fearful that they are entering an era where jobs will be scarce. US
hospitals may be the best in the world, but its healthcare system keeps
more people out of it than anywhere else in the rich world. US life
expectancy is 27th among the 34 industrialised OECD countries. US
universities are so expensive that they are losing their function of
being the core of the liberal democratic state.
So, if Trump means that he will reform the political system to make
it more responsive to the concerns of the middle class and workers,
rebuild its infrastructure and keep special interests in check, the US
does indeed have a vast America First agenda. But if it means abandoning
allies, tearing up trade treaties and disrupting the international
system, America First is a recipe for disaster, not just for the world,
but the US itself.
In hindsight, Barack Obama’s presidency was all about seeking to
balance issues. He was the one who insisted on pulling the US from Iraq
and Afghanistan, minimised the commitment in Libya and refused to get
involved in Syria beyond a point. He was able to pull the US from its
economic crisis and also sought to build multilateral coalitions on a
range of issues from taking on China in the South China Sea to getting
Beijing to cooperate in the Paris climate change summit.
Self-created circumstances are making it difficult for the US to
maintain its role as being “all under the heaven.” That is why the
country appears to be slipping into the lower rung of being an
‘ordinary’ hegemon that will seek to use its raw power to maintain its
primacy. Casting itself as a humane authority has meant accepting some
constraints on its behaviour but, backed with the power of the American
military and economic system, the strategy has been a winning one for
the US until now. Trump is now threatening to upend that but if he goes
down that path, he will soon realise this is a more difficult role for
the United States to assume.
The Wire January 22, 2017
Purity versus pollution have been part of the
Indian way of life for millennia, manifested most perniciously in our
caste system, which divides people between the highest, who are ritually
the purest, and the lowest who are the most polluted. Ritual purity is
the feature of many religions, but nowhere has it had the malign impact
that it has in India.
Confined
to religious and social practice and scientific practice, the concept
now seems to have leapt across social and religious practice into the
contemporary political discourse. Speaking to the nation on New Year’s
Eve, Prime Minister Narendra Modi weighed in, terming the whole
demonetisation exercise as ‘a historic rite of purification’ aimed at
ridding the society of the ‘badness’ and ‘evil’ that had crept in in the
form of corruption, black money and counterfeit currency.
‘Purity’ is fine as a scientific concept, but applied to religious,
political, social and economic categories it is troublesome. We often
hear of temples being washed after Dalits have entered them, or Dalits
being segregated from upper castes in schools, villages and eating
places. The ‘ghar wapsi’ movement calling for the reconversion of those
whose ancestors had allegedly converted from the Hindu faith is another
manifestation of this, as are movements to dictate dietary choices. Most
crippling remain the notions of purity applied to the female body,
which are the foundation of the poor status of women in our society.
But what is ‘purity’ when it comes to economic development and
growth? Modi’s words suggest that it means a society without corruption
and an economy where everyone pays his/her taxes. This is perfectly fine
as an ideal for a society, but to term them as a sine qua non
(essential condition) for economic growth is both ahistorical and
fraught with risk.
A glance back at the growth of capitalism will reveal that the
industrial transformation of the West came along with crass
exploitation, colonialism, robber barons and genocide. Subsequently
these countries have cleaned up their act, though instances of
corruption and bribe often pop up in countries like Sweden, Norway or
the UK. The Chinese version of growth between 1990-2010, too, came with
huge corruption, which Xi Jinping is now trying to fix. But wealth came
before the cleanup.
Actually,
the closest parallel to emphasising ‘purity’ in a society comes from
the failed socialist experiments ranging from the utopians like the
Saint-Simon or Robert Owen and the Marxist-Leninists. Indeed, in their
zeal, the latter committed even greater crimes in pursuit of that ‘pure’
ideal called communism. There is, of course, our own version of a pure
society in Ram Rajya, which is entirely mythical.
With the decline of communism, almost everyone agrees that some form
of capitalism is the best means of economic progress. ‘Pragmatism’ in
policy is the key word – once a goal is identified, appropriate ways and
means are worked out to achieve it without being over-burdened by
ideology. We are all agreed that India should become a developed
economy, with a special thrust on inclusiveness, given our background of
exclusion of large chunks of society. The issue of ‘pure’ versus
‘impure’ means, or ‘goodness’ and ‘badness’ of people or society are red
herrings.
The
essence of modern capitalism is the freedom of choice, constrained by
rules and laws to make an otherwise brutal system, humane, efficient and
inclusive. Certainly, India need not go through the terrible 19th
century experience of capitalism. Fighting corruption and tax-evasion is
important, but it cannot be a pre-condition to the growth process, but
only part of a more complex process that irons them out over a period of
time through appropriate policy.
India’s
obsession with purity has cost us dear through history. The opportunity
costs of denying social mobility to large segments of the population,
especially the Dalits and women cannot even be computed. What we do know
is that a society so divided was unable to offer resistance to repeated
invasions of the country because purity rules demanded that only
certain castes could wield weapons.
It
almost seems that Modi is looking to create the New Indian, an
uncomfortable echo of Stalin and Mao’s New Socialist. But there is also
an echo of his fellow Gujarati, Mahatma Gandhi, who believed that impure
means could never deliver pure ends. Our Independence had to be
obtained through non-violence, the Mahatma believed, and our economy
based on satisfying the minimal needs and a rejection of mass
industrialisation. Eventually, Independence came because World War II
bankrupted Britain. And, fortunately, Gandhi’s heirs rejected his ideas
of a village-based economy which would have been a disaster of epic
proportions.
Where will the current drive for a ‘pure’ means of attaining economic growth lead us? No one knows, probably not even Modi.
Times of India January 7, 2017



