At a public
level, the Modi government has articulated a desire to deal with the
Jammu & Kashmir issue within the parameters outlined by Atal Bihari
Vajpayee - “Insaniyat, jamhuriyat, Kashmiriyat”.But in reality the government is working along quite distinct lines from those taken by past governments.
The
outline of the Modi strategy rests firmly on the belief that without
Pakistan there would be no problem in Jammu & Kashmir.
Modi's strategy in Jammu & Kashmir
rests firmly on the belief that without Pakistan there would be no
problem in Jammu & Kashmir.(Pictured: A masked Kashmiri holds up the
Pakistani flag during a protest in Srinagar, J&K)
So, the government’s focus will be on Pakistan’s misdeeds.
Terrorist
actions will get a tough response. The government will seek to isolate
Pakistan across the world as an irresponsible state sponsor of
terrorism.
Confusion
There
were some confusing moments during Modi's recent speech about the need
to talk about all its four parts - Jammu, Kashmir Valley, Ladakh, and
POK.
Just why this should be done, considering there are no real problems in Jammu and Ladakh is not clear.
If the PM is signalling the need to focus on regaining POK, then he should say so - it is a perfectly legitimate aim.
It
would give India a huge geo-political leverage, although I am not sure
whether the BJP would be happy to see the proportion of Muslim voters
rise sharply in the state and the country.
At
some level, it seems the issue is of “Kashmir” - the real estate - in
opposition to Kashmir - the place - where millions of people live, the
majority of them Muslims.
Holding
on to the real estate is fine but when it comes to the people,
especially the ones who are agitating, there is less clarity.
The
PM is unhappy, as he noted in his speech that - “children are not able
to study, apple produce is not able to reach to the mandis, shopkeepers
are not getting their daily income and government offices are not able
to implement works of public interest”.
But
who are the agitators? Are they dupes of the Pakistanis? Overground
workers of the jihadi organisations? Or, to use the favourite phrase of
our politicians, “misguided youth”?
We don’t know how they will be dealt with, because we don’t know how the government classifies them.
Sure,
as a senior security official told Mail Today on Tuesday - there will
be restraint “in dealing with citizens”, though “terrorists will not be
spared”.
The
problem is that neither the PM, nor the security official, gave any
indication as to whether those involved in the current agitation fell in
the “citizen” or “terrorist” bracket - and herein lies the real
problem.
Complexity
Once
again, the PM spoke of the Vajpayee path. But that path was much more
complex than the one we are seeing unfold under Modi and Doval.
Pakistan-origin
violence was far more intense in the Vajpayee years, yet he reached out
to Islamabad and succeeded in obtaining a ceasefire on the LoC in 2003.
This
had a huge impact in reducing the casualties of service personnel and
civilians in the border zone and took away a crucial cover under which
the militants infiltrated from Pakistan.
Importantly it enabled India to build a border fence which has curtailed the movements of men and weaponry.Another key effort of the Vajpayee government was to seek a ceasefire with the Hizbul Mujahideen.
Kashmiri protesters throw stones towards Indian government forces
The government took the bold step of declaring a ceasefire to facilitate the process in 2000.
Just
why and how this was sabotaged is another story, suffice to say, the
opponents of the efforts do not live only on the other side of the LoC.
All this enabled the first genuinely fair elections to the J&K Assembly in 2002.
What we have today is a one dimensional policy of focusing on Pakistan as the sole cause of the problems in Jammu & Kashmir.
So, the government seems determined to take the war to the Pakistani camp.
Whether or not it can succeed is another matter.
The Modi government plans to isolate
Pakistan across the world as an irresponsible state sponsor of
terrorism. (Pictured: Masked Kashmiri protesters throw stones at
police).
Few results
The
thinly-veiled anti-Pakistan edge of the Modi government’s global
anti-terrorist campaign has yielded few results in the past two years.
Far
from being isolated, Pakistan has succeeded in rebuilding its American
ties, strengthened its Chinese ties, and established a new bridge to
Russia.
Since
Modi is the Prime Minister of India and the head our government, he is
fully entitled to take a new approach to a chronic problem.
A
caveat that emerges from his approach is whether the government have
thought through the end game in relation to Pakistan and J&K - or
are they merely retailing slogans under the guise of policy.
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