I have had a couple of conversations with Henry Kissinger in the past weekend. Always found him lucid and hard-headed even at 89. This is the only one for the record.
According to the arch-priest of US foreign policy, former US
Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, an
India pursuing a policy of “strategic autonomy” is the preferable option for
the United States.
He was clear that the India-US relationship “ should not be
conceived as a military relationship but a political and economic relationship [where]
each side looks at its security interests, but they do not have to be merged in
a common structure.”
Speaking to the Mail Today in an interview on the sidelines of
the India Today Conclave that ended on Saturday, Kissinger said “ I think that
India should pursue its own perception of its national interest. And I hope
that key issues we (India and the US) can find a parallel policy.” He went on
to add that cooperation was “ most effective if both partners pursue policies
based on their own convictions.”
In this context Kissinger said that he was leaving India
with “really warm feelings.” He said the people he spoke to “spoke with characteristic
articulateness but in an atmosphere of friendship and with a positive view of
the future that was very inspiring.”
Asked to explain his concept of parallel policies and
whether they could converge, Kissinger noted that they were already converging
in many areas. He explained his parallel concept by noting that “I would like
to think that each side following its own convictions leads to results that are
compatible and cooperative, and each side should be able to express itself in
terms of its own history and own internal structure.”
He said this was not quite the same thing as pursuing
national interests and observed that in the American context speaking of
national interests was often equated with pursuit of selfish policies. “But
that fact is that statesmen have to calculate risks and opportunities at every
stage. They don’t have the right just to follow their own ideas regardless of
consequences. Ideally the national interests should include values that are
universal. But when you have responsibility for the future of your society, you
cannot just entrust them to idiosyncratic ideas. So in this sense [you can talk
of ] national interests, not in the sense of power, selfish calculations.
In response to a question about a London School of Economic Study which said
that India could never become a world power because of its many internal
problems, the former US Secretary of State said that he was personally very
optimistic about India. “My impression of the leadership I know in India is
that it is very capable and thoughtful.” He said that he compared to the India
that he had seen in the 1960s, India had made an enormous amount of progress.
Even so, he said he would not like to belittle the enormous challenge India
confronts in moving “from an agricultural society to an industrial society
[which] has been a huge problem everywhere. He said he was confident that India
would overcome the challenges, even while conceding that “there are going to be
difficult periods.”
Asked to comment on when political reform was likely to be
initiated in China, Kissinger, who has had an abiding interest in the Middle
Kingdom, was emphatic that things would happen sooner rather than later. “I
think the beginning of this is going to happen with the change of
administration (at the end of 2012 and beginning 2013).” He envisaged that
initially, there would be an emphasis on more transparency, more
accountability. “From my observation of the Chinese leadership they are
thinking hard and constructively on how to do it.” He noted that India, with a
comparative population and size could well understand the dimensions of the
task.
When asked whether or
not his realist framework would argue for an inevitable clash between the US
and China, Kissinger took on a professorial air in expounding his critique of how
realism was being mechanically applied here.
He said that conventional theory of realism would argue that
there would be a clash, but “realism
would also teach you that if this clash pushed to its ultimate conclusion, then
there will be no victor and it will end up with the exhaustion of both
societies .”
In his view this was the realistic approach to foreign
policy. “The other approach that mechanically goes to confrontation.” He said
that this was also part of his debates in America where he differed “from
those who think we must treat China like
the Soviet Union. If that becomes necessary it would have been a failure of
realistic policy.”
When it came to Pakistan Kissinger was somewhat restrained.
In response to a question on how we could deal with Pakistan, he noted that
there was a great deal of frustration with Pakistan in the US. He hopes that a
way would be found that Pakistan and India “which have so many cultural
connections [would] reconcile enough to
deal with their common problems.” He said this may not be easy or look feasible
at this juncture, “But this is something that must be resolved by India and
Pakistan, not something in which we can play a major role, except extend our
goodwill to both sides.”
Mail Today March 19 2012
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